Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 11

---

165
WTNT22 KNHC 262039
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
2100 UTC MON SEP 26 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 34.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 34.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 34.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N 35.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 36.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.2N 37.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.4N 38.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 40.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 34.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH