Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 12

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747
WTNT22 KNHC 270246
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0300 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 34.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 34.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 34.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 35.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 36.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.3N 38.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 39.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N 41.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N 41.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 25.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 34.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG