Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 28

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075
WTNT22 KNHC 010243
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 46.4W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 46.4W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 46.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.7N 47.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.5N 49.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.1N 51.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 53.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 27.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 28.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 31.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 46.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN





535
WTNT21 KNHC 010247
TCMAT1

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 63.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 63.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 63.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 63.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N 62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.2N 61.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 105SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 50.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 180SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 63.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN