Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 37

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213
WTNT22 KNHC 030852
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0900 UTC MON OCT 03 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.9W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 90SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.9W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 54.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.6N 56.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N 58.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.8N 60.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.5N 61.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.3N 60.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 30.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 33.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 54.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





721
WTNT21 KNHC 030853
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
0900 UTC MON OCT 03 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.5N 54.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 37 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 600SE 420SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.5N 54.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 45.5N 56.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 49.1N 48.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 51.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 53.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 360SE 420SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.5N 54.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART