Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 40

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150
WTNT22 KNHC 040233
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0300 UTC TUE OCT 04 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 57.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 57.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 56.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.9N 60.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.5N 61.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.3N 61.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.7N 56.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 30.3N 52.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 57.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN