Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 49

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873
WTNT22 KNHC 060848
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0900 UTC THU OCT 06 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 60.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 60.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 60.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.8N 59.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.8N 58.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.7N 55.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.2N 51.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 38.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 42.0N 42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 49.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 60.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE