Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 56

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689
WTNT22 KNHC 080242
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 52.6W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 52.6W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 53.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.7N 49.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 36.6N 45.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.1N 43.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...120NE 220SE 220SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 43.0N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 50.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 150SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 58.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 52.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI