Hurricane Philippe

Forecast Advisory 58

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764
WTNT22 KNHC 081454
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 58
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 47.9W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 47.9W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 49.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 35.7N 45.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.1N 42.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 42.5N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 46.3N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 54.0N 28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 59.0N 18.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 47.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART