Hurricane Rina
Forecast Advisory 19
813
WTNT23 KNHC 272034
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
2100 UTC THU OCT 27 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SOUTH OF PUNTA GRUESA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
GRUESA TO PROGRESO
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 87.2W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 87.2W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 87.1W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.6N 87.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.2N 86.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.9N 86.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N 86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 18.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 87.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
