Tropical Storm Sean

Forecast Advisory 6



951
WTNT24 KNHC 091447
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
1500 UTC WED NOV 09 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA
WEATHER SERVICE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 70.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......250NE 120SE 120SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 240SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 70.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 70.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 28.4N 70.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 120SE 120SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.6N 70.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.5N 68.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.8N 65.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 41.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 70.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE