Tropical Depression Ten
Forecast Advisory 5
207
WTNT25 KNHC 260836
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102011
0900 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 33.7W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 33.7W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 33.5W
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.1N 34.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.9N 35.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 36.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.8N 37.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N 39.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 21.0N 41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 33.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
702
WTNT24 KNHC 260857
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0900 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY
HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF SMITH POINT IS CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT
NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...INCLUDING LONG
ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACO ISLANDS
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 77.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 77.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 77.2W
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 31.0N 77.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.1N 76.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.3N 76.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...125NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 130SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 37.8N 75.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 60NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 45.0N 70.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 140SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 53.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 58.5N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 77.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
