Hurricane Chris

Forecast Advisory 4

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874
WTNT23 KNHC 201440
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012
1500 UTC WED JUN 20 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 51.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 140SE 220SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 51.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 52.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N 47.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 120SE 80SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.5N 43.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 43.6N 41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 45.0N 43.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...170NE 60SE 50SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 43.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N 51.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN