Hurricane Ernesto
Forecast Advisory 29
957
WTNT25 KNHC 081437
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 89.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N 92.3W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N 94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N 96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N 97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 90.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
683
WTNT25 KNHC 081444
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 89.8W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N 92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N 94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N 96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N 97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 90.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
