Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 30

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408
WTNT25 KNHC 082032
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
2100 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 91.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 91.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 90.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.9N 93.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 95.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.2N 96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 91.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH