Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 2

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613
WTNT23 KNHC 160241
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 55.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 55.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.0N 54.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N 48.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.5N 44.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.5N 36.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 80SE 80SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 37.5N 28.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 40.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA