Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 10



112
WTNT22 KNHC 180231
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
0300 UTC SAT AUG 18 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA TO LA CRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 96.4W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 96.4W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 96.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.7N 97.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.2N 97.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 98.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 96.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




730
WTNT23 KNHC 180232
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
0300 UTC SAT AUG 18 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 42.1W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 200SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 42.1W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 43.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.1N 39.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.4N 35.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 35.2N 31.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 36.4N 27.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 110SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 80SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 39.0N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 42.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS