Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 15

---

358
WTNT23 KNHC 190845
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
0900 UTC SUN AUG 19 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN AZORES

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 31.6W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 31.6W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 32.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 35.7N 28.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 37.2N 25.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 130SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.6N 22.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.4N 19.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 140SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.7N 16.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 31.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN