Hurricane Isaac
Forecast Advisory 38
794
WTNT22 KNHC 301432
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 43.4W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 43.4W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 42.6W
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.8N 45.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.9N 48.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.1N 52.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.0N 59.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 27.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 43.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
427
WTNT24 KNHC 301437
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 92.1W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 170SE 140SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 92.1W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 91.9W
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.0N 92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.0N 93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 37.0N 93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 38.4N 92.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 39.4N 89.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 39.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 39.5N 83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 92.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
202
WTNT21 KNHC 301442
TCMAT1
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 49.5W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 49.5W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 49.2W
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 28.4N 50.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.4N 50.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 32.9N 49.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.8N 47.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.2N 40.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 49.2N 29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 49.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
