Hurricane Kirk
Forecast Advisory 2
846
WTNT21 KNHC 290234
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 45.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 45.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 44.5W
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.2N 46.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.5N 48.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.0N 50.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N 52.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 29.0N 55.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.8N 52.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 42.3N 44.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 45.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/CANGIALOSI
287
WTNT24 KNHC 290251
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO SABINE
PASS TEXAS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
* MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 89.7W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 150SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 210SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 89.7W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 89.5W
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.6N 90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.3N 91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.5N 92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.2N 93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 37.0N 94.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 40.0N 91.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 41.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 89.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
