Hurricane Kirk
Forecast Advisory 3
450
WTNT21 KNHC 290830
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0900 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 45.3W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 45.3W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 44.9W
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.7N 46.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.3N 48.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 26.4N 50.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 28.1N 51.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 46.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 45.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
806
WTNT24 KNHC 290856
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
0900 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
* MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 90.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 140SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 270SE 120SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 90.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 90.1W
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.7N 91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.5N 91.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.8N 92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.6N 93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 37.5N 93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 39.5N 90.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 40.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 90.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
