Hurricane Kirk

Forecast Advisory 6



479
WTNT24 KNHC 300252
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
0300 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMERON LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 91.2W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 140SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 91.2W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 91.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.2N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 90SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.8N 92.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 34.9N 93.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 37.3N 93.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 39.5N 91.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N 87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.5N 83.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 91.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




134
WTNT21 KNHC 300254
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0300 UTC THU AUG 30 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 48.3W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 48.3W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 47.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.9N 49.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 28.6N 50.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 30.6N 50.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.3N 49.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 39.4N 43.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 47.1N 34.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 48.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN