Hurricane Kirk

Forecast Advisory 17

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250
WTNT21 KNHC 012036
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 44.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 30SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 180SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 44.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 45.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 42.4N 41.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 47.6N 34.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 150SE 120SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 44.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





259
WTNT22 KNHC 012039
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 57.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 57.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 56.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.3N 59.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.9N 61.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.6N 62.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.9N 62.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.3N 62.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 27.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 29.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 57.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE