Hurricane Kirk

Forecast Advisory 19

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835
WTNT21 KNHC 020845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.5N 39.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 28 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 50SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 140SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.5N 39.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.5N 40.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 47.4N 34.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 150SE 140SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 53.0N 25.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 160SE 130SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.5N 39.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





073
WTNT22 KNHC 020846
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 59.5W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 59.5W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 59.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 22.0N 60.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.7N 62.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.0N 62.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.9N 62.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 26.9N 62.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 29.2N 63.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 59.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART