Hurricane Michael

Forecast Advisory 9

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172
WTNT23 KNHC 051741
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1730 UTC WED SEP 05 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 42.9W AT 05/1730Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 42.9W AT 05/1730Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 43.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.0N 42.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.7N 42.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.3N 42.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.0N 42.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.1N 44.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N 45.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 34.7N 46.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 42.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS