Hurricane Michael

Forecast Advisory 27

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286
WTNT23 KNHC 092032
TCMAT3

HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 43.8W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 43.8W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 43.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.6N 44.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.2N 46.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.4N 47.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 39.9N 47.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 47.2N 40.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 43.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN





778
WTNT22 KNHC 092033
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

INTERESTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 62.1W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 62.1W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 62.3W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 35.1N 61.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.1N 56.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 51.0N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 60.0N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 300SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 63.5N 9.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 62.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN