Hurricane Michael
Forecast Advisory 32
576
WTNT23 KNHC 110247
TCMAT3
HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 48.0W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 48.0W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 47.8W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.7N 48.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 42.0N 46.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 47.2N 41.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 110SE 60SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 52.2N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 160SE 100SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N 48.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
838
WTNT22 KNHC 110258
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 57.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 35 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 325SE 380SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 57.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 58.5W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 47.6N 54.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 54.2N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 59.8N 38.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 62.5N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...180NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 480SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 62.5N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 240SE 300SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 420SE 480SW 240NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.7N 57.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
