Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 20



376
WTNT24 KNHC 160847
TCMAT4

HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 44.7W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 35SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 160SE 140SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 44.7W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 45.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.3N 38.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.3N 36.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 140SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.5N 34.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 140SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 36.0N 32.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 150SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 36.5N 32.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 36.5N 31.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 44.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN