Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 31



472
WTNT24 KNHC 190237
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0300 UTC WED SEP 19 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AZORES ISLANDS OF FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...
GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 32.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 32.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 32.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.5N 32.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 36.9N 31.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.4N 30.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.3N 29.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 34.4N 26.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 34.0N 25.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 34.0N 24.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 32.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN