Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 53



370
WTNT24 KNHC 252033
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
2100 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 30.4W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 70SE 100SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 30.4W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 30.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 31.1N 30.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.2N 30.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.3N 31.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 90SE 100SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.8N 32.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 90SE 100SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 29.2N 33.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 90SE 100SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 31.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 33.5N 35.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 30.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN