Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 78

---

111
WTNT24 KNHC 020247
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 78
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0300 UTC TUE OCT 02 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 38.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 38.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 39.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 34.2N 38.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.2N 36.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 34.9N 34.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.7N 31.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 80SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 44.0N 26.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 80SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 48.0N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 38.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART