Hurricane Nadine

Forecast Advisory 79



460
WTNT24 KNHC 020831
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 79
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
0900 UTC TUE OCT 02 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36
TO 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 38.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 38.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 38.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.3N 37.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.7N 35.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 35.9N 32.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 38.8N 30.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 45.5N 26.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 80SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 49.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 38.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH