Hurricane Sandy
Forecast Advisory 5
888
WTNT24 KNHC 231431
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012
1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 51.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 51.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 51.2W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.7N 50.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.8N 48.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.5N 45.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.5N 43.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 38.0N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 51.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
749
WTNT23 KNHC 231444
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
JAMAICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 77.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 77.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 78.0W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.9N 77.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N 77.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.9N 77.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.4N 76.8W...ON NORTH COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.6N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 100SW 300NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 28.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 31.0N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 77.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
