Hurricane Sandy
Forecast Advisory 18
174
WTNT23 KNHC 262055
TCMAT3
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
2100 UTC FRI OCT 26 2012
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST TO ST AUGUSTINE.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO DUCK...INCLUDING PAMLICO
AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* GREAT ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF ST AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* BERMUDA
IN ADDITION...GALE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 77.1W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......240NE 180SE 90SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 540SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 77.1W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 77.1W
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.3N 77.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 120SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 29.7N 76.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 220SE 170SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 31.3N 74.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 250NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 33.1N 72.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 170NW.
34 KT...360NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...380NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 39.5N 76.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 41.0N 77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 77.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
