Hurricane Sandy

Forecast Advisory 19

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269
WTNT23 KNHC 270253
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
0300 UTC SAT OCT 27 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO ST AUGUSTINE
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO DUCK...INCLUDING PAMLICO
AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* GREAT ABACO AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF ST AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* BERMUDA

IN ADDITION...GALE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 77.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 180SE 110SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 600SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 77.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 77.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.8N 76.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 200SE 120SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 30.4N 75.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 220SE 170SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 32.0N 73.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 130SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 33.8N 71.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 170NW.
34 KT...360NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 37.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...380NE 330SE 300SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 40.0N 77.0W...INLAND POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 42.0N 76.5W...INLAND POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 77.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN