Hurricane Sandy

Forecast Advisory 22

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985
WTNT23 KNHC 272054
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
2100 UTC SAT OCT 27 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. HIGH WIND WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SEE STATEMENTS
FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 75.2W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 90SW 60NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT.......450NE 270SE 240SW 280NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 630SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 75.2W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 75.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 31.5N 73.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 100SW 100NW.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...420NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 33.4N 72.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
50 KT...100NE 180SE 200SW 160NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 360SW 360NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 35.4N 71.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 200SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 360SW 330NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.9N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 200SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 330SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 40.0N 77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 400SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 42.5N 76.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 45.5N 74.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 75.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN