Tropical Storm Chantal

Forecast Advisory 11

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872
WTNT23 KNHC 101457
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
1500 UTC WED JUL 10 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
JAMAICA

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* JAMAICA

INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 72.0W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 70 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 72.0W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 71.3W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.1N 75.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 78.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.0N 80.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.0N 80.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 72.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA