Tropical Storm Dorian

Forecast Advisory 11

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908
WTNT24 KNHC 262032
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013
2100 UTC FRI JUL 26 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DORIAN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 45.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 45.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 44.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.2N 48.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.6N 52.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.0N 56.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 45.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH