Hurricane Ingrid

Forecast Advisory 15

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431
WTNT25 KNHC 160249
TCMAT5

HURRICANE INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013
0300 UTC MON SEP 16 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO RIO SAN FERNANDO
* SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 96.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 96.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 96.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 23.2N 97.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.9N 98.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.5N 99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.1N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 96.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART