Tropical Storm Karen

Forecast Advisory 10

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445
WTNT22 KNHC 051431
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013
1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
* LAKE MAUREPAS
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
* EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 91.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 91.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 91.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.7N 91.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.4N 90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.3N 88.1W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.3N 85.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN