Tropical Storm Lorenzo

Forecast Advisory 1

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997
WTNT23 KNHC 211433
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013
1500 UTC MON OCT 21 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 55.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 55.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 55.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.9N 54.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.6N 52.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.1N 50.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.4N 48.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.4N 46.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 55.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN