Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 2

---

404
WTNT24 KNHC 182046
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
2100 UTC MON NOV 18 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 54.2W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......300NE 250SE 150SW 270NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 400SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 54.2W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 54.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 30.7N 54.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.3N 53.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.9N 50.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 44.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT... 60NE 200SE 300SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 50.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 57.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 54.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART