Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 3

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956
WTNT24 KNHC 190255
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
0300 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 54.7W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT.......270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 540SE 540SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 54.7W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 54.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.3N 54.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.6N 52.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.4N 48.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.8N 43.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 46.0N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 53.5N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 54.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA