Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 7

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018
WTNT24 KNHC 200237
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
0300 UTC WED NOV 20 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 52.4W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE 160SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 600SE 600SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 52.4W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 53.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.7N 49.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 160SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.4N 43.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.8N 37.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 43.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 48.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...300NE 120SE 120SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 54.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 52.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE