Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 8



235
WTNT24 KNHC 200834
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
0900 UTC WED NOV 20 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 50.2W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 160SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 470SE 450SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 50.2W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 51.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.8N 46.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.3N 40.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 41.4N 34.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 43.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 45.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 50.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI