Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 12

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856
WTNT24 KNHC 210834
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
0900 UTC THU NOV 21 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 38.5W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 28 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 420SE 520SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 38.5W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 40.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 40.2N 33.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 200SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 41.5N 27.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 42.2N 22.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 42.2N 19.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 60SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 40.0N 16.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 38.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI