Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 3

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984
WTNT23 KNHC 011449
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
ISLA SAONA.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 58.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 58.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 58.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 67.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.9N 70.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 31.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 36.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 58.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN