Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 5



571
WTNT21 KNHC 121432
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
1500 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 43.0W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 43.0W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 42.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.2N 44.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N 46.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.8N 48.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 23.0N 50.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 28.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 43.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA