Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 10



206
WTNT21 KNHC 132038
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
2100 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 47.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 47.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 23.7N 49.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.0N 51.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N 53.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.6N 55.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N 57.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 36.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 42.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA