Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 11



851
WTNT21 KNHC 140235
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 48.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 48.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 47.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 24.5N 50.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.9N 52.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.2N 54.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N 56.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.2N 57.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 38.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 42.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 48.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN