Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 13

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047
WTNT21 KNHC 141449
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 50.7W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 50.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 50.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.8N 52.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.1N 54.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.5N 56.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.1N 56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N 54.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.4N 47.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 41.7N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 50.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART